Season Profile
- Record
- 3-0
- Coach
- Trevon Pendleton
- Football league
- Ohio Valley Conference · OSPR 47.9
- Division
- Division 5
- Region
- Region 19
Ironton Fighting-Tigers (
3-0
)
Ironton, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
65.6
Through Week 3
- Statewide
- #24
- Division
- #7
- Region
- #1
Previous: After Week 2
OSPR 65.9 · Statewide #2 · Division #2 · Region #1
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 7.05
- Projected regional seed
- #2
- Most likely record
- 8-2
- Expected wins
- 7.6
- Playoff qualification
- 93.5%
Next Opponent
Somerset
Friday, Sep 11, 2026
OSPR prediction unavailable.
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
65.6
B
Tier
Rank
#7
Harbin
7.05
Rising
Confidence
40%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1629
CalPreps
3.41
FPI
32.30
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 8–2
- Expected wins
- 7.6
- Average Harbin
- 16.09
- Likely regional seed
- #2
Harbin range: 5.10–26.10
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 93.5%
- Home position
- 79.3%
- First-round bye
- 47.4%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. next opponent
Win
16.48 Harbin
· #2 seed
95.2% in · 82.3% home · 51.2% bye
Loss
15.69 Harbin
· #3 seed
91.7% in · 76.2% home · 43.4% bye
2 unrated fixtures used a 50% fallback probability.
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Ironton's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 20, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
42
0
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%)
Projected score: 25–26
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
17
Pick: W by 10 (80.1%)
Projected score: 28–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
Jackson
(2-1)
Pick: W by 5 (65.6%)
Projected score: 27–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
Pick: W by 5 (64.8%)
Projected score: 27–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
Pick: W by 6 (69.4%)
Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
Pick: W by 13 (84.7%)
Projected score: 27–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Ironton
(3-0)
Pick: W by 10 (78.3%)
Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20 | A | Division 5, Region 20 | W | 42-0 |
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%) Projected score: 25–26
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/29 | H |
Salem
|
N/A | W | 55-14 | No pregame prediction recorded | |
| 09/04 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | W | 17-10 |
Pick: W by 10 (80.1%) Projected score: 28–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | A |
Somerset
|
N/A | — | Prediction unavailable | ||
| 09/18 | A | Division 3, Region 11 | — |
Pick: W by 5 (65.6%) Projected score: 27–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | H | Division 2, Region 7 | — |
Pick: W by 5 (64.8%) Projected score: 27–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM |
|||
| 10/03 | H |
Bloomington South
|
N/A | — | Prediction unavailable | ||
| 10/09 | A | Division 6, Region 23 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (69.4%) Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | H | Division 3, Region 11 | — |
Pick: W by 13 (84.7%) Projected score: 27–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 5, Region 19 | — |
Pick: W by 10 (78.3%) Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:33 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
