Season Profile
- Record
- 0-1
- Coach
- Jonathon White Ii
- Football league
- Dayton City League · OSPR 45.5
- Division
- Division 5
- Region
- Region 20
Stivers School For The Arts Tigers (
0-1
)
Dayton, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
39.3
Through Week 2
- Statewide
- #545
- Division
- #74
- Region
- #19
Previous: After Week 1
OSPR 38.7 · Statewide #552 · Division #76 · Region #22
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 0.00
- Projected regional seed
- #25
- Most likely record
- 4-6
- Expected wins
- 3.9
- Playoff qualification
- 12.1%
Next Opponent
Thursday, Aug 27, 2026
Projected score: 18–22 (37.7% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
39.3
D
Tier
Rank
#74
Harbin
0.00
Falling
Confidence
13%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1454
CalPreps
-2.81
FPI
-11.61
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 4–6
- Expected wins
- 3.9
- Average Harbin
- 7.57
- Likely regional seed
- #25
Harbin range: 0.00–20.36
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 12.1%
- Home position
- 3.3%
- First-round bye
- 0.4%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Dunbar
Win
10.10 Harbin
· #17 seed
27.3% in · 8.1% home · 1.1% bye
Loss
6.21 Harbin
· #25 seed
3.9% in · 0.6% home · 0.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Stivers School For The Arts's chance to win.
* Does not count in OHSAA rankings
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 20, 2026
50
Pick: W by 3 (59.7%)
Projected score: 19–16
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Aug 27, 2026
Dunbar
(1-0)
Pick: L by 4 (37.7%)
Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026
Pick: W by 3 (58.7%)
Projected score: 20–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Sep 10, 2026
Belmont
(2-0)
Pick: L by 7 (27.9%)
Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Sep 17, 2026
Pick: W by 1 (52.8%)
Projected score: 18–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Sep 26, 2026
Peebles (club)
(1-0)
Pick: L by 4 (35.8%)
Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Norwood
(0-2)
Pick: W by 1 (50.2%)
Projected score: 20–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Pick: L by 1 (48.0%)
Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Vanlue
(0-2)
Pick: L by 2 (41.9%)
Projected score: 17–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
Scheduled
Oct 24, 2026
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%)
Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | L | 6-50 |
Pick: W by 3 (59.7%) Projected score: 19–16
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/27 | H | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (37.7%) Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 09/04 | A | Division 7, Region 28 | — |
Pick: W by 3 (58.7%) Projected score: 20–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 09/10 | A | Division 2, Region 8 | — |
Pick: L by 7 (27.9%) Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 09/17 | A | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (52.8%) Projected score: 18–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 09/26 | A | N/A | * | — |
Pick: L by 4 (35.8%) Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
||
| 10/02 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (50.2%) Projected score: 20–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 10/09 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | — |
Pick: L by 1 (48.0%) Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | A | Division 7, Region 26 | — |
Pick: L by 2 (41.9%) Projected score: 17–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
|||
| 10/24 | H | Division 7, Region 28 | — |
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%) Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:19 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
