Season Profile
- Record
- 1-1
- Coach
- Darran Powell
- Football league
- Dayton City League · OSPR 43.5
- Division
- Division 4
- Region
- Region 16
Dunbar Wolverines (
1-1
)
Dayton, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
49.0
Through Week 3
- Statewide
- #373
- Division
- #56
- Region
- #12
Previous: After Week 2
OSPR 59.6 · Statewide #194 · Division #31 · Region #7
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 3.60
- Projected regional seed
- #2
- Most likely record
- 6-4
- Expected wins
- 6.1
- Playoff qualification
- 91.0%
Next Opponent
Thursday, Aug 27, 2026
Projected score: 21–19 (57.7% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
49.0
C
Tier
Rank
#56
Harbin
3.60
Stable
Confidence
27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1498
CalPreps
-0.30
FPI
-0.42
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 6–4
- Expected wins
- 6.1
- Average Harbin
- 16.72
- Likely regional seed
- #2
Harbin range: 2.80–28.70
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 91.0%
- Home position
- 74.0%
- First-round bye
- 41.0%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Stivers School For The Arts
Win
17.42 Harbin
· #2 seed
93.7% in · 79.5% home · 47.2% bye
Loss
15.48 Harbin
· #5 seed
86.4% in · 64.4% home · 30.1% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Dunbar's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
32
Briggs
(1-2)
23
Pick: W by 4 (64.0%)
Projected score: 21–17
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Aug 27, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 2 (57.7%)
Projected score: 21–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
26
Pick: W by 1 (54.7%)
Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 12, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: L by 3 (39.7%)
Projected score: 21–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Belmont
(2-1)
Pick: L by 4 (38.4%)
Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Ponitz
(0-3)
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 10 (77.8%)
Projected score: 25–15
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 1 (52.1%)
Projected score: 22–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Oct 08, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 4 (61.0%)
Projected score: 24–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Oct 17, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 9 (77.7%)
Projected score: 23–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
Scheduled
Oct 22, 2026
Dunbar
(1-1)
Pick: W by 11 (79.5%)
Projected score: 26–15
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | A | Division 2, Region 8 | W | 32-23 |
Pick: W by 4 (64.0%) Projected score: 21–17
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/27 | A | Division 5, Region 20 | — |
Pick: W by 2 (57.7%) Projected score: 21–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 09/04 | H | Division 6, Region 24 | L | 26-42 |
Pick: W by 1 (54.7%) Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/12 | A | Division 6, Region 24 | — |
Pick: L by 3 (39.7%) Projected score: 21–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | A | Division 2, Region 8 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (38.4%) Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 10 (77.8%) Projected score: 25–15
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | A | Division 2, Region 8 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (52.1%) Projected score: 22–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 10/08 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 4 (61.0%) Projected score: 24–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 10/17 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 9 (77.7%) Projected score: 23–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
|||
| 10/22 | H | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: W by 11 (79.5%) Projected score: 26–15
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:04 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
