Skip to main content
Buchtel Logo

Buchtel Griffins ( 0-2 )
Akron, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

OSPR Standing

35.7

Through Week 2

Statewide
#654
Division
#94
Region
#25

Previous: After Week 1

OSPR 36.9 · Statewide #612 · Division #87 · Region #20

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
0.00
Projected regional seed
#23
Most likely record
4-6
Expected wins
3.7
Playoff qualification
17.1%

Next Opponent

Mentor Lake Catholic

Saturday, Sep 5, 2026

Projected score: 21–19 (56.5% win estimate)

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
35.7
D Tier
Rank
#93
Harbin 0.00
Falling
Confidence 27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1428
CalPreps
-3.62
FPI
-17.89

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
4–6
Expected wins
3.7
Average Harbin
8.72
Likely regional seed
#23

Harbin range: 0.00–24.30

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
17.1%

Top 12

Home position
5.6%

Top 8

First-round bye
0.7%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Mentor Lake Catholic

Win 9.86 Harbin · #17 seed

24.0% in · 8.5% home · 1.2% bye

Loss 7.38 Harbin · #26 seed

9.0% in · 2.2% home · 0.1% bye

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show Buchtel's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: L by 7 (27.3%)

Projected score: 18–25

Low calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: L by 10 (19.0%)

Projected score: 16–26

Medium calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Sep 05, 2026

Pick: W by 2 (56.5%)

Projected score: 21–19

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Sep 12, 2026

Pick: W by 3 (58.9%)

Projected score: 20–17

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Sep 19, 2026

Pick: L by 8 (25.8%)

Projected score: 17–25

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Sep 26, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (43.8%)

Projected score: 18–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (44.8%)

Projected score: 17–19

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Oct 10, 2026

Pick: W by 3 (59.0%)

Projected score: 21–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Oct 17, 2026

Pick: W by 2 (54.8%)

Projected score: 20–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Scheduled
Oct 24, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (40.9%)

Projected score: 19–21

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 11:36 PM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.