Season Profile
- Record
- 1-2
- Coach
- Tyler Curtain
- Football leagues
- Independent / not assigned
- Division
- Division 4
- Region
- Region 13
Lutheran East Falcons (
1-2
)
Cleveland Heights, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
45.7
Through Week 3
- Statewide
- #453
- Division
- #69
- Region
- #18
Previous: After Week 2
OSPR 37.6 · Statewide #581 · Division #85 · Region #21
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 2.00
- Projected regional seed
- #20
- Most likely record
- 3-7
- Expected wins
- 3.2
- Playoff qualification
- 9.8%
Next Opponent
Saturday, Sep 12, 2026
Projected score: 19–20 (49.3% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
45.7
C
Tier
Rank
#69
Harbin
2.00
Falling
Confidence
40%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1457
CalPreps
-0.87
FPI
-10.69
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 3–7
- Expected wins
- 3.2
- Average Harbin
- 8.28
- Likely regional seed
- #20
Harbin range: 0.60–23.65
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 9.8%
- Home position
- 1.7%
- First-round bye
- 0.1%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Buchtel
Win
9.77 Harbin
· #17 seed
16.1% in · 3.3% home · 0.3% bye
Loss
7.25 Harbin
· #21 seed
5.4% in · 0.5% home · 0.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Lutheran East's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 22, 2026
Lakeside
(1-2)
14
7
Pick: L by 6 (30.9%)
Projected score: 17–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 21, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 29, 2026
Our Lady of Mount Carmel
42
14
No pregame prediction recorded
Final
Sep 05, 2026
12
33
Pick: W by 1 (50.7%)
Projected score: 18–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 4, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 12, 2026
Buchtel
(1-2)
Pick: L by 1 (49.3%)
Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Pick: L by 4 (36.9%)
Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Pick: L by 5 (33.5%)
Projected score: 17–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Shaw
(1-2)
Pick: L by 4 (35.4%)
Projected score: 17–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Pick: L by 6 (28.8%)
Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Brush
(1-2)
Pick: W by 1 (50.2%)
Projected score: 20–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: L by 6 (31.6%)
Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22 | H | Division 3, Region 9 | L | 7-14 |
Pick: L by 6 (30.9%) Projected score: 17–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 21, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/29 | H |
Our Lady of Mount Carmel
|
N/A | L | 14-42 | No pregame prediction recorded | |
| 09/05 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | W | 33-12 |
Pick: W by 1 (50.7%) Projected score: 18–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 4, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/12 | A | Division 3, Region 10 | — |
Pick: L by 1 (49.3%) Projected score: 19–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | A | Division 4, Region 13 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (36.9%) Projected score: 18–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | A | Division 6, Region 21 | — |
Pick: L by 5 (33.5%) Projected score: 17–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | A | Division 5, Region 17 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (35.4%) Projected score: 17–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 10/09 | H | Division 4, Region 13 | — |
Pick: L by 6 (28.8%) Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | A | Division 2, Region 5 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (50.2%) Projected score: 20–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 6, Region 21 | — |
Pick: L by 6 (31.6%) Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 9:45 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
