Season Profile
- Record
- 7-1
- Coach
- Tom Lombardo
- Football leagues
- Independent / not assigned
- Division
- Division 1
- Region
- Region 1
St Edward Eagles (
7-1
)
Lakewood, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
62.4
Through Week 8
- Statewide
- #109
- Division
- #12
- Region
- #3
Previous: After Week 7
OSPR 61.3 · Statewide #129 · Division #15 · Region #4
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 21.53
- Projected regional seed
- #1
- Most likely record
- 8-2
- Expected wins
- 7.9
- Playoff qualification
- 100.0%
Next Opponent
Saturday, Oct 17, 2026
Projected score: 24–25 (44.1% win estimate)
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 8:40 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
62.4
B
Tier
Rank
#12
Harbin
21.53
Rising
Confidence
100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1647
CalPreps
2.23
FPI
36.81
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 8–2
- Expected wins
- 7.9
- Average Harbin
- 28.56
- Likely regional seed
- #1
Harbin range: 23.20–34.87
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 100.0%
- Home position
- 100.0%
- First-round bye
- 99.8%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Moeller
Win
31.78 Harbin
· #1 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 100.0% bye
Loss
26.79 Harbin
· #2 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 99.6% bye
1 unrated fixture used a 50% fallback probability.
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Lakewood St. Edward's chance to win.
* Does not count in OHSAA rankings
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
12
15
Pick: W by 9 (76.9%)
Projected score: 28–19
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
8
22
Pick: L by 2 (44.9%)
Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
48
Wayne
(4-4)
21
Pick: W by 1 (52.6%)
Projected score: 21–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 11, 2026
14
17
Pick: W by 10 (76.9%)
Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 18, 2026
23
21
Pick: L by 1 (44.6%)
Projected score: 23–24
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 26, 2026
St John's College
21
22
No pregame prediction recorded
Final
Oct 02, 2026
31
14
Pick: L by 4 (34.8%)
Projected score: 22–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 09, 2026
Mississauga, ON
46
63
Pick: L by 1 (49.6%)
Projected score: 24–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Oct 17, 2026
Moeller
(6-2)
Pick: L by 1 (44.1%)
Projected score: 24–25
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 8:40 PM
Scheduled
Oct 24, 2026
Loudoun Sports Academy
Prediction unavailable
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | H | Division 1, Region 3 | W | 15-12 |
Pick: W by 9 (76.9%) Projected score: 28–19
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | H | Division 1, Region 1 | W | 22-8 |
Pick: L by 2 (44.9%) Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | A | Division 1, Region 2 | W | 48-21 |
Pick: W by 1 (52.6%) Projected score: 21–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | W | 17-14 |
Pick: W by 10 (76.9%) Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/18 | H | Division 2, Region 7 | L | 21-23 |
Pick: L by 1 (44.6%) Projected score: 23–24
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/26 | H |
St John's College
|
N/A | W | 22-21 | No pregame prediction recorded | |
| 10/02 | A | Division 1, Region 1 | W | 31-14 |
Pick: L by 4 (34.8%) Projected score: 22–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/09 | H |
Football North Inc.
(1-3)
(Mississauga, ON)
|
W | 63-46 |
Pick: L by 1 (49.6%) Projected score: 24–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/17 | A | Division 1, Region 4 | — |
Pick: L by 1 (44.1%) Projected score: 24–25
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 8:40 PM |
|||
| 10/24 | H |
Loudoun Sports Academy
|
N/A | * | — | Prediction unavailable |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.