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St Edward Eagles ( 2-0 )
Lakewood, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Season Profile

Record
2-0
Coach
Tom Lombardo
Football leagues
Independent / not assigned
Division
Division 1
Region
Region 1

OSPR Standing

59.5

Through Week 2

Statewide
#197
Division
#17
Region
#2

Previous: After Week 1

OSPR 55.7 · Statewide #321 · Division #37 · Region #7

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
7.10
Projected regional seed
#7
Most likely record
6-4
Expected wins
5.9
Playoff qualification
84.7%

Next Opponent

Wayne

Friday, Sep 4, 2026

Projected score: 21–20 (52.6% win estimate)

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
59.5
B Tier
Rank
#18
Harbin 7.10
Rising
Confidence 27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1550
CalPreps
2.37
FPI
12.40

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
6–4
Expected wins
5.9
Average Harbin
16.85
Likely regional seed
#7

Harbin range: 3.24–33.34

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
84.7%

Top 12

Home position
54.3%

Top 8

First-round bye
19.3%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Wayne

Win 18.30 Harbin · #6 seed

91.8% in · 66.9% home · 27.5% bye

Loss 15.47 Harbin · #9 seed

78.0% in · 42.4% home · 11.4% bye

2 unrated fixtures used a 50% fallback probability.

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show Lakewood St. Edward's chance to win.

* Does not count in OHSAA rankings
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: W by 9 (76.9%)

Projected score: 28–19

Low calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (44.9%)

Projected score: 21–23

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (52.6%)

Projected score: 21–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026

Pick: W by 5 (66.9%)

Projected score: 23–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026

Pick: L by 4 (36.7%)

Projected score: 21–25

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Sep 26, 2026

St John's College

Prediction unavailable
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: L by 1 (47.2%)

Projected score: 21–22

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (42.1%)

Projected score: 22–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Oct 17, 2026

Pick: L by 6 (33.4%)

Projected score: 19–25

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Scheduled
Oct 24, 2026

Loudoun Sports Academy

Prediction unavailable

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.