Season Profile
- Record
- 4-4
- Coach
- Matt Root
- Football league
- Southwestern Buckeye League - Southwestern · OSPR 51.8
- Division
- Division 2
- Region
- Region 8
Edgewood Cougars (
4-4
)
Trenton, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
47.9
Through Week 8
- Statewide
- #409
- Division
- #57
- Region
- #16
Previous: After Week 7
OSPR 49.5 · Statewide #385 · Division #54 · Region #14
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 10.26
- Projected regional seed
- #12
- Most likely record
- 5-5
- Expected wins
- 5.1
- Playoff qualification
- 57.0%
Next Opponent
Friday, Oct 16, 2026
Projected score: 24–13 (80.2% win estimate)
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
47.9
C
Tier
Rank
#57
Harbin
10.26
Falling
Confidence
100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1493
CalPreps
-0.58
FPI
-1.64
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 5–5
- Expected wins
- 5.1
- Average Harbin
- 13.55
- Likely regional seed
- #12
Harbin range: 9.70–18.60
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 57.0%
- Home position
- 6.5%
- First-round bye
- 0.0%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Franklin
Win
13.66 Harbin
· #12 seed
59.3% in · 7.0% home · 0.0% bye
Loss
13.04 Harbin
· #13 seed
45.6% in · 3.7% home · 0.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Trenton Edgewood's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
20
49
Pick: L by 1 (46.5%)
Projected score: 20–21
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
28
32
Pick: L by 6 (32.8%)
Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
31
7
Pick: L by 1 (48.1%)
Projected score: 21–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 11, 2026
27
28
Pick: L by 4 (36.7%)
Projected score: 19–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 18, 2026
38
22
Pick: W by 3 (61.1%)
Projected score: 21–18
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 25, 2026
27
6
Pick: W by 1 (51.8%)
Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 02, 2026
42
Ross
(3-5)
21
Pick: W by 4 (63.9%)
Projected score: 23–19
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 09, 2026
10
28
Pick: L by 3 (40.1%)
Projected score: 21–24
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Pick: W by 11 (80.2%)
Projected score: 24–13
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Monroe
(5-3)
Pick: L by 7 (27.5%)
Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | A | Division 1, Region 4 | L | 20-49 |
Pick: L by 1 (46.5%) Projected score: 20–21
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | H | Division 1, Region 2 | W | 32-28 |
Pick: L by 6 (32.8%) Projected score: 18–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | H | Division 2, Region 8 | L | 7-31 |
Pick: L by 1 (48.1%) Projected score: 21–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | W | 28-27 |
Pick: L by 4 (36.7%) Projected score: 19–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/18 | A | Division 3, Region 12 | W | 38-22 |
Pick: W by 3 (61.1%) Projected score: 21–18
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/25 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | L | 6-27 |
Pick: W by 1 (51.8%) Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/02 | A | Division 2, Region 8 | W | 42-21 |
Pick: W by 4 (63.9%) Projected score: 23–19
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/09 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | L | 10-28 |
Pick: L by 3 (40.1%) Projected score: 21–24
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/16 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 11 (80.2%) Projected score: 24–13
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: L by 7 (27.5%) Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
