Season Profile
- Record
- 1-1
- Coach
- Josh Koogle
- Football league
- Southwestern Buckeye League - Buckeye · OSPR 54.6
- Division
- Division 5
- Region
- Region 20
Carlisle Indians (
1-1
)
Carlisle, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
51.5
Through Week 2
- Statewide
- #283
- Division
- #43
- Region
- #11
Previous: After Week 1
OSPR 61.0 · Statewide #190 · Division #24 · Region #6
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 2.25
- Projected regional seed
- #4
- Most likely record
- 7-3
- Expected wins
- 6.7
- Playoff qualification
- 86.5%
Next Opponent
Friday, Sep 4, 2026
Projected score: 22–20 (59.4% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
51.5
C
Tier
Rank
#43
Harbin
2.25
Stable
Confidence
27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1511
CalPreps
0.33
FPI
2.78
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 7–3
- Expected wins
- 6.7
- Average Harbin
- 16.05
- Likely regional seed
- #4
Harbin range: 3.90–25.80
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 86.5%
- Home position
- 68.1%
- First-round bye
- 37.3%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Bethel
Win
16.37 Harbin
· #2 seed
88.5% in · 70.9% home · 40.1% bye
Loss
14.88 Harbin
· #6 seed
79.2% in · 57.7% home · 26.5% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Carlisle's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
12
43
Pick: W by 7 (72.0%)
Projected score: 25–18
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
7
20
Pick: L by 2 (42.7%)
Projected score: 22–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026
Bethel
(0-2)
Pick: W by 2 (59.4%)
Projected score: 22–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026
Pick: L by 4 (35.8%)
Projected score: 20–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Pick: W by 8 (71.9%)
Projected score: 24–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Pick: L by 2 (45.7%)
Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Pick: L by 2 (43.1%)
Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Oakwood
(2-0)
Pick: L by 9 (22.1%)
Projected score: 18–27
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Pick: W by 8 (72.3%)
Projected score: 25–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Eaton
(2-0)
Pick: L by 6 (32.2%)
Projected score: 20–26
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | W | 43-12 |
Pick: W by 7 (72.0%) Projected score: 25–18
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | A | Division 5, Region 20 | L | 7-20 |
Pick: L by 2 (42.7%) Projected score: 22–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | A | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 2 (59.4%) Projected score: 22–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 09/11 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (35.8%) Projected score: 20–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | H | Division 3, Region 12 | — |
Pick: W by 8 (71.9%) Projected score: 24–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | — |
Pick: L by 2 (45.7%) Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | — |
Pick: L by 2 (43.1%) Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 10/09 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: L by 9 (22.1%) Projected score: 18–27
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | H | Division 5, Region 20 | — |
Pick: W by 8 (72.3%) Projected score: 25–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | — |
Pick: L by 6 (32.2%) Projected score: 20–26
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:26 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
