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La Salle Lancers ( 2-1 )
Cincinnati, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

OSPR Standing

57.1

Through Week 3

Statewide
#179
Division
#23
Region
#8

Previous: After Week 2

OSPR 62.7 · Statewide #122 · Division #18 · Region #8

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
5.53
Projected regional seed
#1
Most likely record
6-4
Expected wins
6.0
Playoff qualification
87.4%

Next Opponent

Elder

Friday, Sep 11, 2026

Projected score: 21–27 (31.1% win estimate)

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
57.1
B Tier
Rank
#22
Harbin 5.53
Rising
Confidence 40%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1547
CalPreps
1.68
FPI
11.75

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
6–4
Expected wins
6.0
Average Harbin
21.11
Likely regional seed
#1

Harbin range: 4.45–39.00

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
87.4%

Top 12

Home position
70.6%

Top 8

First-round bye
42.0%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Elder

Win 24.43 Harbin · #1 seed

97.2% in · 88.9% home · 65.5% bye

Loss 19.18 Harbin · #4 seed

81.6% in · 59.9% home · 28.4% bye

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show LaSalle's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: W by 7 (73.1%)

Projected score: 23–16

Low calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: W by 8 (71.9%)

Projected score: 25–17

Low calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 04, 2026

Pick: W by 10 (79.8%)

Projected score: 27–17

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026

Pick: L by 6 (31.1%)

Projected score: 21–27

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (43.7%)

Projected score: 22–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026

Pick: W by 4 (64.5%)

Projected score: 25–21

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (52.3%)

Projected score: 23–22

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: W by 8 (76.3%)

Projected score: 26–18

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (52.9%)

Projected score: 25–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (71.3%)

Projected score: 24–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 11, 2026 4:35 PM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.