Season Profile
- Record
- 3-0
- Coach
- Josh Wells
- Football league
- Cleveland West Conference · OSPR 44.0
- Division
- Division 4
- Region
- Region 13
Rocky River Pirates (
3-0
)
Rocky River, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
63.1
Through Week 3
- Statewide
- #101
- Division
- #15
- Region
- #4
Previous: After Week 2
OSPR 64.2 · Statewide #55 · Division #12 · Region #2
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 6.87
- Projected regional seed
- #2
- Most likely record
- 8-2
- Expected wins
- 8.1
- Playoff qualification
- 97.7%
Next Opponent
Friday, Sep 11, 2026
Projected score: 24–23 (51.7% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
63.1
B
Tier
Rank
#15
Harbin
6.87
Rising
Confidence
40%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1590
CalPreps
3.06
FPI
22.56
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 8–2
- Expected wins
- 8.1
- Average Harbin
- 20.88
- Likely regional seed
- #2
Harbin range: 7.45–30.10
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 97.7%
- Home position
- 86.6%
- First-round bye
- 56.4%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Lakewood
Win
22.74 Harbin
· #2 seed
99.9% in · 97.1% home · 76.5% bye
Loss
17.97 Harbin
· #6 seed
94.2% in · 70.3% home · 25.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Rocky River's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
28
Pick: W by 1 (50.6%)
Projected score: 25–24
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 29, 2026
63
0
Pick: W by 7 (69.6%)
Projected score: 24–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 28, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
16
20
Pick: W by 5 (65.4%)
Projected score: 26–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026
Lakewood
(3-0)
Pick: W by 1 (51.7%)
Projected score: 24–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Pick: W by 9 (78.6%)
Projected score: 25–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Normandy
(0-3)
Pick: W by 7 (73.1%)
Projected score: 24–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Pick: W by 6 (70.1%)
Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Oct 08, 2026
Westlake
(1-2)
Pick: W by 6 (69.7%)
Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Pick: W by 5 (68.8%)
Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Bay
(0-3)
Pick: W by 14 (85.7%)
Projected score: 28–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | A | Division 5, Region 17 | W | 28-7 |
Pick: W by 1 (50.6%) Projected score: 25–24
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/29 | A | Division 1, Region 1 | W | 63-0 |
Pick: W by 7 (69.6%) Projected score: 24–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 28, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | H | Division 2, Region 7 | W | 20-16 |
Pick: W by 5 (65.4%) Projected score: 26–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (51.7%) Projected score: 24–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | A | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 9 (78.6%) Projected score: 25–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | A | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 7 (73.1%) Projected score: 24–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (70.1%) Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 10/08 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (69.7%) Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | A | Division 4, Region 14 | — |
Pick: W by 5 (68.8%) Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | H | Division 4, Region 14 | — |
Pick: W by 14 (85.7%) Projected score: 28–14
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 12, 2026 7:40 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.