Season Profile
- Record
- 8-0
- Coach
- Colin Stolly
- Football league
- Northwest Conference · OSPR 52.6
- Division
- Division 6
- Region
- Region 22
Lima Central Catholic Thunderbirds (
8-0
)
Lima, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
68.1
Through Week 8
- Statewide
- #20
- Division
- #5
- Region
- #3
Previous: After Week 7
OSPR 67.5 · Statewide #24 · Division #6 · Region #3
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 19.24
- Projected regional seed
- #2
- Most likely record
- 10-0
- Expected wins
- 9.8
- Playoff qualification
- 100.0%
Next Opponent
Friday, Oct 16, 2026
Projected score: 30–12 (91.1% win estimate)
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
68.1
B
Tier
Rank
#5
Harbin
19.24
Rising
Confidence
100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1717
CalPreps
3.22
FPI
54.36
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 10–0
- Expected wins
- 9.8
- Average Harbin
- 23.58
- Likely regional seed
- #2
Harbin range: 20.40–25.30
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 100.0%
- Home position
- 100.0%
- First-round bye
- 100.0%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Spencerville
Win
23.62 Harbin
· #2 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 100.0% bye
Loss
23.12 Harbin
· #2 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 100.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Lima Central Catholic's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 20, 2026
20
Pick: L by 1 (47.1%)
Projected score: 22–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 29, 2026
Pick: W by 5 (65.9%)
Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 28, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
Urbana
(5-3)
34
Pick: W by 1 (54.8%)
Projected score: 25–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 11, 2026
6
Pick: W by 2 (56.0%)
Projected score: 25–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 18, 2026
14
Pick: W by 3 (58.7%)
Projected score: 26–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 25, 2026
7
Pick: W by 4 (63.2%)
Projected score: 27–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 02, 2026
21
Pick: L by 3 (41.0%)
Projected score: 24–27
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 09, 2026
Pick: W by 14 (87.1%)
Projected score: 30–16
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Pick: W by 18 (91.1%)
Projected score: 30–12
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: W by 19 (92.8%)
Projected score: 32–13
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/20 | H | Division 3, Region 10 | W | 51-20 |
Pick: L by 1 (47.1%) Projected score: 22–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/29 | H | Division 7, Region 26 | W | 41-0 |
Pick: W by 5 (65.9%) Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 28, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | A | Division 4, Region 16 | W | 37-34 |
Pick: W by 1 (54.8%) Projected score: 25–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | A | Division 6, Region 22 | W | 13-6 |
Pick: W by 2 (56.0%) Projected score: 25–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/18 | A | Division 6, Region 22 | W | 55-14 |
Pick: W by 3 (58.7%) Projected score: 26–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/25 | A | Division 7, Region 28 | W | 42-7 |
Pick: W by 4 (63.2%) Projected score: 27–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/02 | A | Division 5, Region 18 | W | 26-21 |
Pick: L by 3 (41.0%) Projected score: 24–27
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/09 | H | Division 7, Region 26 | W | 31-0 |
Pick: W by 14 (87.1%) Projected score: 30–16
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/16 | A | Division 6, Region 22 | — |
Pick: W by 18 (91.1%) Projected score: 30–12
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM |
|||
| 10/23 | H | Division 6, Region 22 | — |
Pick: W by 19 (92.8%) Projected score: 32–13
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
