Season Profile
- Record
- 5-3
- Coach
- Joey Bates
- Football leagues
- Independent / not assigned
- Division
- Division 3
- Region
- Region 9
Gilmour Academy Lancers (
5-3
)
Gates Mills, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
55.5
Through Week 8
- Statewide
- #231
- Division
- #39
- Region
- #10
Previous: After Week 7
OSPR 53.6 · Statewide #265 · Division #40 · Region #10
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 12.53
- Projected regional seed
- #9
- Most likely record
- 6-4
- Expected wins
- 5.9
- Playoff qualification
- 84.2%
Next Opponent
Friday, Oct 16, 2026
Projected score: 25–19 (68.1% win estimate)
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
55.5
B
Tier
Rank
#38
Harbin
12.53
Rising
Confidence
100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1563
CalPreps
1.02
FPI
15.69
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 6–4
- Expected wins
- 5.9
- Average Harbin
- 17.68
- Likely regional seed
- #9
Harbin range: 12.05–24.25
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 84.2%
- Home position
- 36.3%
- First-round bye
- 1.7%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Rhodes
Win
18.93 Harbin
· #9 seed
98.5% in · 49.9% home · 2.7% bye
Loss
15.59 Harbin
· #13 seed
60.4% in · 13.6% home · 0.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Gilmour Academy's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
32
14
Pick: W by 5 (64.9%)
Projected score: 25–20
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
0
7
Pick: L by 7 (28.2%)
Projected score: 18–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
26
Hawken
(6-2)
21
Pick: L by 7 (27.6%)
Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 12, 2026
7
14
Pick: W by 4 (61.6%)
Projected score: 23–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 11, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 18, 2026
John Hay
(2-6)
0
40
Pick: L by 5 (36.7%)
Projected score: 18–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 26, 2026
18
25
Pick: L by 8 (25.9%)
Projected score: 18–26
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 25, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 03, 2026
59
Pick: L by 9 (22.1%)
Projected score: 18–27
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 2, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 09, 2026
14
55
Pick: W by 11 (81.4%)
Projected score: 25–14
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Rhodes
(4-3)
Pick: W by 6 (68.1%)
Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: L by 4 (34.6%)
Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | H | Division 3, Region 9 | L | 14-32 |
Pick: W by 5 (64.9%) Projected score: 25–20
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | H | Division 3, Region 10 | W | 7-0 |
Pick: L by 7 (28.2%) Projected score: 18–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | A | Division 3, Region 9 | W | 26-21 |
Pick: L by 7 (27.6%) Projected score: 18–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/12 | A | Division 3, Region 9 | L | 7-14 |
Pick: W by 4 (61.6%) Projected score: 23–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 11, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/18 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | W | 40-0 |
Pick: L by 5 (36.7%) Projected score: 18–23
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/26 | A | Division 3, Region 9 | L | 18-25 |
Pick: L by 8 (25.9%) Projected score: 18–26
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 25, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/03 | A | Division 4, Region 13 | W | 59-42 |
Pick: L by 9 (22.1%) Projected score: 18–27
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 2, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/09 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | W | 55-14 |
Pick: W by 11 (81.4%) Projected score: 25–14
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/16 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (68.1%) Projected score: 25–19
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 3, Region 9 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (34.6%) Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.