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Cardinal Mooney Cardinals ( 5-3 )
Youngstown, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Season Profile

Record
5-3
Coach
Frank Colaprete
Football leagues
Independent / not assigned
Division
Division 5
Region
Region 17

OSPR Standing

58.3

Through Week 8

Statewide
#179
Division
#25
Region
#8

Previous: After Week 7

OSPR 56.5 · Statewide #206 · Division #31 · Region #8

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
15.25
Projected regional seed
#5
Most likely record
6-4
Expected wins
6.2
Playoff qualification
100.0%

Next Opponent

Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary

Friday, Oct 16, 2026

Projected score: 24–16 (74.1% win estimate)

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
58.3
B Tier
Rank
#25
Harbin 15.25
Rising
Confidence 100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1608
CalPreps
1.39
FPI
26.98

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
6–4
Expected wins
6.2
Average Harbin
19.01
Likely regional seed
#5

Harbin range: 14.20–24.55

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
100.0%

Top 12

Home position
89.0%

Top 8

First-round bye
8.4%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary

Win 19.39 Harbin · #5 seed

100.0% in · 93.6% home · 10.7% bye

Loss 17.98 Harbin · #5 seed

100.0% in · 76.7% home · 2.3% bye

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show Cardinal Mooney's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (52.8%)

Projected score: 25–24

Low calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (51.8%)

Projected score: 23–22

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 04, 2026

Pick: W by 10 (79.1%)

Projected score: 27–17

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 11, 2026

Pick: L by 1 (48.4%)

Projected score: 23–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 19, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (68.1%)

Projected score: 24–18

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 18, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 25, 2026

Hamburg, NY

34

Pick: L by 5 (36.2%)

Projected score: 21–26

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (68.8%)

Projected score: 26–20

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: W by 3 (61.5%)

Projected score: 24–21

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026

Pick: W by 8 (74.1%)

Projected score: 24–16

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM

Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (53.0%)

Projected score: 24–23

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:41 PM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.