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Canton Mckinley Senior Logo

Canton Mckinley Senior Bulldogs ( 7-1 )
Canton, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

OSPR Standing

65.4

Through Week 8

Statewide
#57
Division
#9
Region
#3

Previous: After Week 7

OSPR 64.5 · Statewide #64 · Division #7 · Region #2

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
17.33
Projected regional seed
#4
Most likely record
8-2
Expected wins
7.9
Playoff qualification
100.0%

Next Opponent

Massillon Jackson

Friday, Oct 16, 2026

Projected score: 25–24 (51.1% win estimate)

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
65.4
B Tier
Rank
#8
Harbin 17.33
Rising
Confidence 100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1680
CalPreps
2.81
FPI
45.06

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
8–2
Expected wins
7.9
Average Harbin
24.20
Likely regional seed
#4

Harbin range: 18.55–30.75

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
100.0%

Top 12

Home position
95.1%

Top 8

First-round bye
60.1%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Massillon Jackson

Win 26.67 Harbin · #1 seed

100.0% in · 100.0% home · 96.0% bye

Loss 22.07 Harbin · #4 seed

100.0% in · 90.9% home · 29.3% bye

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show Canton McKinley's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: W by 4 (64.9%)

Projected score: 24–20

Low calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: W by 2 (55.1%)

Projected score: 23–21

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 04, 2026

Pick: W by 4 (60.3%)

Projected score: 22–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 11, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (53.9%)

Projected score: 21–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 18, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (68.3%)

Projected score: 26–20

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Sep 25, 2026

Pick: W by 2 (58.1%)

Projected score: 24–22

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: W by 5 (66.7%)

Projected score: 25–20

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: W by 7 (71.7%)

Projected score: 27–20

High calibration Close Game

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (51.1%)

Projected score: 25–24

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM

Scheduled
Oct 24, 2026

Pick: W by 3 (59.8%)

Projected score: 26–23

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:42 PM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.