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River Pilots ( 2-0 )
Hannibal, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

OSPR Standing

64.9

Through Week 2

Statewide
#27
Division
#10
Region
#3

Previous: After Week 1

OSPR 63.5 · Statewide #44 · Division #16 · Region #3

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
4.40
Projected regional seed
#2
Most likely record
7-3
Expected wins
6.7
Playoff qualification
76.7%

Next Opponent

Oak Glen

Friday, Sep 4, 2026

Projected score: 28–21 (72.9% win estimate)

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
64.9
B Tier
Rank
#6
Harbin 4.40
Rising
Confidence 27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1587
CalPreps
3.66
FPI
21.75

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
7–3
Expected wins
6.7
Average Harbin
14.89
Likely regional seed
#2

Harbin range: 2.26–29.90

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
76.7%

Top 12

Home position
58.0%

Top 8

First-round bye
31.8%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Oak Glen

Win 15.77 Harbin · #2 seed

84.0% in · 66.6% home · 38.6% bye

Loss 12.69 Harbin · #7 seed

58.3% in · 36.3% home · 14.5% bye

1 unrated fixture used a 50% fallback probability.

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show River's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 20, 2026

Pick: L by 7 (28.5%)

Projected score: 18–25

Low calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 19, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: W by 5 (65.8%)

Projected score: 24–19

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026

New Cumberland, WV

Pick: W by 7 (72.9%)

Projected score: 28–21

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026

New Martinsville, WV

Pick: W by 12 (83.3%)

Projected score: 27–15

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Cameron (0-0)

Cameron, WV

Pick: W by 2 (57.7%)

Projected score: 26–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Sep 24, 2026

Everett

Prediction unavailable
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (51.8%)

Projected score: 25–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: W by 2 (56.1%)

Projected score: 25–23

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026

Pick: W by 7 (70.4%)

Projected score: 27–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026

Pick: L by 1 (49.4%)

Projected score: 24–25

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Aug 31, 2026 10:51 PM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.