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Northwest Indians ( 2-0 )
Canal Fulton, OH

2026 Team Snapshot

Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

OSPR Standing

62.7

Through Week 2

Statewide
#122
Division
#25
Region
#6

Previous: After Week 1

OSPR 61.4 · Statewide #150 · Division #24 · Region #6

Season Outlook

Current Harbin points
6.35
Projected regional seed
#6
Most likely record
7-3
Expected wins
6.6
Playoff qualification
87.8%

Next Opponent

Canton Central Catholic

Friday, Sep 4, 2026

Projected score: 23–20 (58.6% win estimate)

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios

Detailed OSPR rating

Team Rating

What is OSPR?
OSPR
62.7
B Tier
Rank
#24
Harbin 6.35
Rising
Confidence 27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1565
CalPreps
3.22
FPI
16.23

OSPR Season Outlook

Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.

Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations

Regular Season Projections

Most likely record
7–3
Expected wins
6.6
Average Harbin
16.77
Likely regional seed
#6

Harbin range: 5.00–29.30

The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.

Playoff Chances Now

Qualify
87.8%

Top 12

Home position
63.0%

Top 8

First-round bye
25.9%

Top 4

Depending on the Next Game

vs. Canton Central Catholic

Win 17.61 Harbin · #5 seed

91.9% in · 70.7% home · 32.4% bye

Loss 15.50 Harbin · #7 seed

81.6% in · 51.5% home · 16.0% bye

2026 Schedule

OSPR percentages show Canal Fulton Northwest's chance to win.

Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (52.2%)

Projected score: 24–23

Low calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM

Final
Aug 28, 2026

Pick: L by 1 (47.9%)

Projected score: 22–23

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM

Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026

Pick: W by 3 (58.6%)

Projected score: 23–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (43.6%)

Projected score: 21–23

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (68.8%)

Projected score: 24–18

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026

Pick: W by 11 (80.5%)

Projected score: 26–15

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026

Pick: W by 1 (50.0%)

Projected score: 24–23

High calibration Limited Data Close Game

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026

Pick: W by 4 (65.8%)

Projected score: 24–20

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026

Pick: L by 2 (44.4%)

Projected score: 22–24

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026

Pick: W by 6 (69.4%)

Projected score: 25–19

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 12:29 AM

Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.