Season Profile
- Record
- 7-1
- Coach
- Derek Pennington
- Football league
- Northern Lakes League - Buckeye · OSPR 55.3
- Division
- Division 2
- Region
- Region 6
Clay Eagles (
7-1
)
Oregon, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
62.1
Through Week 8
- Statewide
- #112
- Division
- #14
- Region
- #1
Previous: After Week 7
OSPR 65.8 · Statewide #45 · Division #6 · Region #1
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 16.96
- Projected regional seed
- #4
- Most likely record
- 9-1
- Expected wins
- 8.5
- Playoff qualification
- 100.0%
Next Opponent
Friday, Oct 16, 2026
Projected score: 24–26 (43.7% win estimate)
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
62.1
B
Tier
Rank
#14
Harbin
16.96
Rising
Confidence
100%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1642
CalPreps
2.19
FPI
35.44
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Oct 12, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 9–1
- Expected wins
- 8.5
- Average Harbin
- 23.15
- Likely regional seed
- #4
Harbin range: 17.65–28.45
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 100.0%
- Home position
- 100.0%
- First-round bye
- 79.0%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Whitmer
Win
25.44 Harbin
· #3 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 100.0% bye
Loss
20.32 Harbin
· #4 seed
100.0% in · 100.0% home · 52.9% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Oregon Clay's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
21
27
Pick: L by 1 (49.1%)
Projected score: 24–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
35
14
Pick: L by 2 (43.2%)
Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 04, 2026
0
62
Pick: W by 8 (74.8%)
Projected score: 25–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 11, 2026
52
13
Pick: W by 11 (81.2%)
Projected score: 27–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 18, 2026
56
14
Pick: W by 7 (71.3%)
Projected score: 25–18
High calibration
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 25, 2026
Findlay
(4-4)
28
29
Pick: W by 7 (72.9%)
Projected score: 27–20
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 02, 2026
0
23
Pick: W by 16 (88.2%)
Projected score: 31–15
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Oct 09, 2026
13
41
Pick: L by 1 (46.1%)
Projected score: 25–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Whitmer
(7-1)
Pick: L by 2 (43.7%)
Projected score: 24–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: W by 19 (93.0%)
Projected score: 30–11
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | H | Division 3, Region 10 | W | 27-21 |
Pick: L by 1 (49.1%) Projected score: 24–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | A | Division 2, Region 6 | W | 35-14 |
Pick: L by 2 (43.2%) Projected score: 21–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/04 | H | Division 3, Region 10 | W | 62-0 |
Pick: W by 8 (74.8%) Projected score: 25–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | A | Division 4, Region 14 | W | 52-13 |
Pick: W by 11 (81.2%) Projected score: 27–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM |
GameCast | |
| 09/18 | A | Division 5, Region 18 | W | 56-14 |
Pick: W by 7 (71.3%) Projected score: 25–18
High calibration
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 17, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/25 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | W | 29-28 |
Pick: W by 7 (72.9%) Projected score: 27–20
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 24, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/02 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | W | 23-0 |
Pick: W by 16 (88.2%) Projected score: 31–15
High calibration
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 1, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/09 | A | Division 1, Region 2 | L | 13-41 |
Pick: L by 1 (46.1%) Projected score: 25–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Oct 8, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 10/16 | A | Division 1, Region 2 | — |
Pick: L by 2 (43.7%) Projected score: 24–26
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM |
|||
| 10/23 | H | Division 2, Region 6 | — |
Pick: W by 19 (93.0%) Projected score: 30–11
Medium calibration
Version 2026.1 Live projection Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM |
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