Season Profile
- Record
- 1-1
- Coach
- Dan Larlham
- Football league
- Suburban League - National · OSPR 53.5
- Division
- Division 1
- Region
- Region 1
Stow-Munroe Falls Bulldogs (
1-1
)
Stow, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
55.5
Through Week 2
- Statewide
- #217
- Division
- #21
- Region
- #4
Previous: After Week 1
OSPR 44.7 · Statewide #379 · Division #46 · Region #10
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 3.60
- Projected regional seed
- #6
- Most likely record
- 5-5
- Expected wins
- 5.3
- Playoff qualification
- 83.4%
Next Opponent
St Francis Prep
Saturday, Sep 5, 2026
OSPR prediction unavailable.
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
55.5
B
Tier
Rank
#21
Harbin
3.60
Stable
Confidence
27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1530
CalPreps
1.36
FPI
7.57
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 5–5
- Expected wins
- 5.3
- Average Harbin
- 17.30
- Likely regional seed
- #6
Harbin range: 1.75–33.10
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 83.4%
- Home position
- 57.8%
- First-round bye
- 25.2%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. next opponent
Win
17.68 Harbin
· #5 seed
85.2% in · 61.0% home · 27.4% bye
Loss
16.93 Harbin
· #6 seed
81.6% in · 54.7% home · 23.1% bye
1 unrated fixture used a 50% fallback probability.
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Stow-Munroe Falls's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
34
Aurora
(1-1)
36
Pick: L by 7 (29.0%)
Projected score: 18–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 28, 2026
13
44
Pick: L by 1 (46.9%)
Projected score: 22–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 05, 2026
St Francis Prep
Prediction unavailable
Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026
Medina
(0-2)
Pick: W by 9 (76.7%)
Projected score: 26–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Solon
(1-1)
Pick: W by 10 (78.9%)
Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Pick: W by 6 (69.0%)
Projected score: 24–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Pick: W by 3 (58.6%)
Projected score: 25–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Nordonia
(2-0)
Pick: L by 2 (44.2%)
Projected score: 22–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Hudson
(2-0)
Pick: L by 4 (36.8%)
Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: W by 4 (60.1%)
Projected score: 24–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | A | Division 3, Region 9 | L | 34-36 |
Pick: L by 7 (29.0%) Projected score: 18–25
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/28 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | W | 44-13 |
Pick: L by 1 (46.9%) Projected score: 22–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 27, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/05 | N |
St Francis Prep
|
N/A | — | Prediction unavailable | ||
| 09/11 | A | Division 1, Region 1 | — |
Pick: W by 9 (76.7%) Projected score: 26–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | H | Division 1, Region 1 | — |
Pick: W by 10 (78.9%) Projected score: 26–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (69.0%) Projected score: 24–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | — |
Pick: W by 3 (58.6%) Projected score: 25–22
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 10/09 | H | Division 2, Region 5 | — |
Pick: L by 2 (44.2%) Projected score: 22–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | A | Division 1, Region 1 | — |
Pick: L by 4 (36.8%) Projected score: 21–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 2, Region 5 | — |
Pick: W by 4 (60.1%) Projected score: 24–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:07 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
