Make playoffs
100.0%
Top 12 in the region
2026 Football · Division 1 · Region 4
Elder Playoff Paths
Snapshot Nov 4, 2026 8:47 AM EST · 10,000 simulations. Results recorded after this update are not included.
Current Harbin standings
Recorded results at this snapshot. Remaining games are excluded.
- Regional rank
- #2
- Harbin average
- 34.8000
- Record
- 8–2
Calculated from recorded results; * Harbin tie requiring official OHSAA tiebreakers.
4 earlier games are missing results in this region's scenario inputs. Current standings may be incomplete; projections treat those results as unknown.
Projected finishes
OSPR predicts game winners. Harbin points determine regional seeds in every simulation.
Most likely seed
#2
Most common simulation result
Simulated seed range
#2–#2
Range found in this run
First-round bye
100.0%
Top 4 in the region
How to read these scenarios
Start with the projected winners or load one of the best/worst seed outcomes found in this run. Change any remaining result to see a new regional table. One shared result applies to both teams and to opponents' Harbin points.
The sampled range is not a mathematical limit. A 0% or 100% simulation result does not prove elimination or clinching. Equal Harbin totals may require official OHSAA tiebreakers; tied model seeds are marked with an asterisk.
The model probabilities above describe the original simulation run. They do not change when you choose winners. The scenario below is a hypothetical outcome, not a new probability forecast.
Missing opponent ratings use a 50% fallback; unlinked opponents or incomplete schedules can reduce accuracy. About OSPR · Official OHSAA information
Projected finish in your scenario
OSPR projected winners
#2
34.8000 Harbin
Games that can change Seed
Biggest seed impact first. Each row shows Elder's seed with either winner, keeping all your other picks the same. Impacts update as you choose winners.
| Seed impact | Pick the winner |
|---|---|
| Loading winner controls… | |
Region 4 in this scenario
Top 12 qualify · Top 4 earn byes · * Harbin tie
| Seed | Team | Record | Harbin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princeton | 10–0 | 36.9500 |
| 2 | Elder | 8–2 | 34.8000 |
| 3 | Lakota West | 9–1 | 29.1500 |
| 4 | Archbishop Moeller | 7–3 | 27.0000 |
| 5 | Winton Woods | 8–3 | 24.8409 |
| 6 | St Xavier | 5–5 | 21.6500 |
| 7 | Springboro | 7–3 | 21.1500 |
| 8 | Lebanon | 7–3 | 18.2500 |
| 9 | Middletown | 6–4 | 17.5000 |
| 10 | Little Miami | 7–3 | 15.8000 |
| 11 | Fairfield | 5–5 | 14.9500 |
| 12 | Lakota East | 6–4 | 14.2500 |
| 13 | Oak Hills | 4–6 | 12.4000 |
Showing seeds 1–13 of 21.
Seed probabilities in the stored run
- Seed 2
- 100.00%
