Batavia Playoff Paths

Team schedule and rankings → Regional bracket & OSPR picks →

Snapshot Nov 4, 2026 8:47 AM EST · 10,000 simulations. Results recorded after this update are not included.

Current Harbin standings

Recorded results at this snapshot. Remaining games are excluded.

Regional rank: #22
Harbin average: 1.8500
Record: 1–9

Calculated from recorded results; * Harbin tie requiring official OHSAA tiebreakers.

1 earlier game is missing results in this region's scenario inputs. Current standings may be incomplete; projections treat those results as unknown.

Projected finishes

OSPR predicts game winners. Harbin points determine regional seeds in every simulation.

Make playoffs

0.0%

Top 12 in the region

Most likely seed

#22

Most common simulation result

Simulated seed range

#22–#22

Range found in this run

First-round bye

0.0%

Top 4 in the region

How to read these scenarios

Start with the projected winners or load one of the best/worst seed outcomes found in this run. Change any remaining result to see a new regional table. One shared result applies to both teams and to opponents' Harbin points.

The sampled range is not a mathematical limit. A 0% or 100% simulation result does not prove elimination or clinching. Equal Harbin totals may require official OHSAA tiebreakers; tied model seeds are marked with an asterisk.

The model probabilities above describe the original simulation run. They do not change when you choose winners. The scenario below is a hypothetical outcome, not a new probability forecast.

Missing opponent ratings use a 50% fallback; unlinked opponents or incomplete schedules can reduce accuracy. About OSPR · Official OHSAA information

Projected finish in your scenario

OSPR projected winners

#22

1.8500 Harbin

Games that can change Seed

Biggest seed impact first. Each row shows Batavia's seed with either winner, keeping all your other picks the same. Impacts update as you choose winners.

Remaining winners and their impact on Batavia's projected seed
Seed impact	Pick the winner
Loading winner controls…

Region 12 in this scenario

Top 12 qualify · Top 4 earn byes · * Harbin tie

Regional seeds for the selected winners
Seed	Team	Record	Harbin
1	Bellbrook	10–0	33.0000
2	Tippecanoe	9–1	27.8500
3	Archbishop McNicholas	8–2	25.9000
4	Chillicothe	8–2	22.6000
5	Miami Trace	9–1	22.2000
6	Indian Hill	8–2	19.7000
7	Hughes	9–1	19.4500
8	Unioto	7–3	18.3000
9	Northwest	8–2	18.1000
10	Goshen	9–1	17.3000
11	Archbishop Alter	6–4	12.6000
12	Monroe	6–4	12.0000
13	Chaminade Julienne	3–7	6.4500
14	Ponitz Career Technology Center	4–6	5.7833
15	Mount Healthy	2–8	5.5500
16	Bethel	4–6	4.7000
17	Western Brown	3–7	3.5500
18	Archbishop Carroll	2–8	3.2000
19	Bellefontaine	2–8	2.7500
20	Franklin	1–9	2.3500
21	Greenville	2–8	2.3000
22	Batavia	1–9	1.8500
23*	Thurgood Marshall	1–9	0.4500

Showing seeds 1–23 of 26.

Seed probabilities in the stored run

Seed 22: 100.00%