Season Profile
- Record
- 1-1
- Coach
- John Gillum
- Football league
- Firelands Conference · OSPR 46.1
- Division
- Division 7
- Region
- Region 26
Plymouth Big-Red (
1-1
)
Plymouth, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
48.7
Through Week 2
- Statewide
- #405
- Division
- #56
- Region
- #16
Previous: After Week 1
OSPR 59.7 · Statewide #238 · Division #33 · Region #12
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 1.75
- Projected regional seed
- #2
- Most likely record
- 8-4
- Expected wins
- 7.7
- Playoff qualification
- 93.1%
Next Opponent
Friday, Sep 4, 2026
Projected score: 21–18 (56.8% win estimate)
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
48.7
C
Tier
Rank
#56
Harbin
1.75
Stable
Confidence
27%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1490
CalPreps
-0.30
FPI
-2.50
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Aug 31, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 8–4
- Expected wins
- 7.7
- Average Harbin
- 15.15
- Likely regional seed
- #2
Harbin range: 2.93–25.37
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 93.1%
- Home position
- 78.2%
- First-round bye
- 49.4%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Lucas
Win
15.78 Harbin
· #1 seed
96.0% in · 84.0% home · 57.2% bye
Loss
13.90 Harbin
· #5 seed
87.3% in · 66.9% home · 34.0% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Plymouth's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 28, 2026
Litchfield
38
22
No pregame prediction recorded
Scheduled
Sep 04, 2026
Pick: W by 3 (56.8%)
Projected score: 21–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Sep 11, 2026
Pick: W by 8 (72.9%)
Projected score: 24–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Pick: L by 1 (44.3%)
Projected score: 20–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Pick: W by 4 (63.8%)
Projected score: 21–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Oct 02, 2026
Pick: W by 4 (63.1%)
Projected score: 21–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Pick: W by 6 (71.8%)
Projected score: 23–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Pick: L by 3 (40.0%)
Projected score: 20–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Pick: W by 2 (57.0%)
Projected score: 22–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | A | Division 7, Region 25 | W | 29-20 | No pregame prediction recorded | ||
| 08/28 | H |
Litchfield
|
N/A | L | 22-38 | No pregame prediction recorded | |
| 09/04 | A | Division 6, Region 21 | — |
Pick: W by 3 (56.8%) Projected score: 21–18
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 09/11 | H | Division 7, Region 25 | — |
Pick: W by 8 (72.9%) Projected score: 24–16
High calibration
Limited Data
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 09/18 | A | Division 7, Region 25 | — |
Pick: L by 1 (44.3%) Projected score: 20–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 09/25 | H | Division 6, Region 22 | — |
Pick: W by 4 (63.8%) Projected score: 21–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 10/02 | H | Division 7, Region 25 | — |
Pick: W by 4 (63.1%) Projected score: 21–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 10/09 | H | Division 7, Region 25 | — |
Pick: W by 6 (71.8%) Projected score: 23–17
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 10/16 | A | Division 6, Region 22 | — |
Pick: L by 3 (40.0%) Projected score: 20–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
|||
| 10/23 | A | Division 7, Region 25 | — |
Pick: W by 2 (57.0%) Projected score: 22–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 1, 2026 2:09 AM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
