Make playoffs
100.0%
Top 12 in the region
2026 Football · Division 4 · Region 15
Marion-Franklin Playoff Paths
Snapshot Nov 2, 2026 2:01 AM EST · 10,000 simulations. Results recorded after this update are not included.
Current Harbin standings
Recorded results at this snapshot. Remaining games are excluded.
- Regional rank
- #12
- Harbin average
- 14.8500
- Record
- 6–4
Calculated from recorded results; * Harbin tie requiring official OHSAA tiebreakers.
3 earlier games are missing results in this region's scenario inputs. Current standings may be incomplete; projections treat those results as unknown.
Projected finishes
OSPR predicts game winners. Harbin points determine regional seeds in every simulation.
Most likely seed
#12
Most common simulation result
Simulated seed range
#12–#12
Range found in this run
First-round bye
0.0%
Top 4 in the region
How to read these scenarios
Start with the projected winners or load one of the best/worst seed outcomes found in this run. Change any remaining result to see a new regional table. One shared result applies to both teams and to opponents' Harbin points.
The sampled range is not a mathematical limit. A 0% or 100% simulation result does not prove elimination or clinching. Equal Harbin totals may require official OHSAA tiebreakers; tied model seeds are marked with an asterisk.
The model probabilities above describe the original simulation run. They do not change when you choose winners. The scenario below is a hypothetical outcome, not a new probability forecast.
Missing opponent ratings use a 50% fallback; unlinked opponents or incomplete schedules can reduce accuracy. About OSPR · Official OHSAA information
Projected finish in your scenario
OSPR projected winners
#12
14.8500 Harbin
Games that can change Seed
Biggest seed impact first. Each row shows Marion-Franklin's seed with either winner, keeping all your other picks the same. Impacts update as you choose winners.
| Seed impact | Pick the winner |
|---|---|
| Loading winner controls… | |
Region 15 in this scenario
Top 12 qualify · Top 4 earn byes · * Harbin tie
| Seed | Team | Record | Harbin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indian Valley | 9–0 | 28.3000 |
| 2 | New Lexington | 9–1 | 26.1500 |
| 3 | West Holmes | 8–2 | 21.9500 |
| 4 | Johnstown | 8–2 | 20.0500 |
| 5 | East Liverpool | 8–2 | 18.6500 |
| 6 | Claymont | 9–1 | 18.5500 |
| 7* | Fairfield Union | 8–2 | 16.9000 |
| 8* | West Muskingum | 8–2 | 16.9000 |
| 9 | Philo | 7–3 | 16.1500 |
| 10 | Heath | 7–3 | 15.9500 |
| 11 | Union Local | 7–3 | 15.2500 |
| 12 | Marion-Franklin | 6–4 | 14.8500 |
| 13 | Indian Creek | 7–3 | 14.3000 |
Showing seeds 1–13 of 26.
Seed probabilities in the stored run
- Seed 12
- 100.00%
