Make playoffs
0.0%
Top 12 in the region
2026 Football · Division 5 · Region 20
Bethel-Tate Playoff Paths
Snapshot Nov 4, 2026 8:47 AM EST · 10,000 simulations. Results recorded after this update are not included.
Current Harbin standings
Recorded results at this snapshot. Remaining games are excluded.
- Regional rank
- #21
- Harbin average
- 3.5500
- Record
- 3–7
Calculated from recorded results; * Harbin tie requiring official OHSAA tiebreakers.
Projected finishes
OSPR predicts game winners. Harbin points determine regional seeds in every simulation.
Most likely seed
#21
Most common simulation result
Simulated seed range
#21–#21
Range found in this run
First-round bye
0.0%
Top 4 in the region
How to read these scenarios
Start with the projected winners or load one of the best/worst seed outcomes found in this run. Change any remaining result to see a new regional table. One shared result applies to both teams and to opponents' Harbin points.
The sampled range is not a mathematical limit. A 0% or 100% simulation result does not prove elimination or clinching. Equal Harbin totals may require official OHSAA tiebreakers; tied model seeds are marked with an asterisk.
The model probabilities above describe the original simulation run. They do not change when you choose winners. The scenario below is a hypothetical outcome, not a new probability forecast.
Missing opponent ratings use a 50% fallback; unlinked opponents or incomplete schedules can reduce accuracy. About OSPR · Official OHSAA information
Projected finish in your scenario
OSPR projected winners
#21
3.5500 Harbin
Games that can change Seed
Biggest seed impact first. Each row shows Bethel-Tate's seed with either winner, keeping all your other picks the same. Impacts update as you choose winners.
| Seed impact | Pick the winner |
|---|---|
| Loading winner controls… | |
Region 20 in this scenario
Top 12 qualify · Top 4 earn byes · * Harbin tie
| Seed | Team | Record | Harbin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graham Local | 9–1 | 26.1000 |
| 2 | Williamsburg | 9–1 | 19.0000 |
| 3 | Miami East | 9–1 | 18.1500 |
| 4 | Waynesville | 8–2 | 17.9500 |
| 5 | Bishop Fenwick | 5–5 | 12.7500 |
| 6 | Carlisle | 6–4 | 11.8000 |
| 7 | Summit Country Day | 5–4 | 11.7389 |
| 8 | Arcanum | 6–4 | 11.5500 |
| 9 | Dayton Christian | 7–3 | 11.4500 |
| 10 | Preble Shawnee | 7–3 | 8.9000 |
| 11 | Greenon | 6–3 | 8.7222 |
| 12 | Greeneview | 5–4 | 8.4722 |
| 13 | West Liberty-Salem | 5–4 | 7.9722 |
| 14 | Madeira | 6–4 | 7.9500 |
| 15 | James N Gamble Montessori | 7–3 | 7.6944 |
| 16 | Purcell Marian | 6–4 | 7.6000 |
| 17 | Blanchester | 5–5 | 7.4500 |
| 18 | Brookville | 4–6 | 7.0500 |
| 19 | Mariemont | 5–5 | 6.8500 |
| 20 | Clermont Northeastern | 4–6 | 5.8500 |
| 21 | Bethel-Tate | 3–7 | 3.5500 |
| 22 | Milton-Union | 2–8 | 1.8000 |
Showing seeds 1–22 of 26.
Seed probabilities in the stored run
- Seed 21
- 100.00%