Mapleton vs St Paul Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
Choose teams and game conditions
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Mapleton 6 · Norwalk St. Paul 7
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:18 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Mapleton
WINNER23
Range: 11.5-34.5
St Paul
17
Range: 5.5-28.5
PREDICTED SPREAD
Mapleton -6
OVER/UNDER
39.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
851 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Norwalk St. Paul by 17 to Mapleton by 29
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 851 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Mapleton Style:
Offensive
Norwalk St. Paul Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Norwalk St. Paul offense vs Mapleton defense - advantage Norwalk St. Paul
Insights:
- Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
- Norwalk St. Paul has momentum advantage
Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.
