Lima Central Catholic vs Spencerville Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
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Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Lima Central Catholic 8 · Spencerville 8
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:39 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Lima Central Catholic
WINNER30
Range: 20-40
Spencerville
12
Range: 2-22
PREDICTED SPREAD
Lima Central Catholic -18.9
OVER/UNDER
42 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
Medium
20 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Spencerville by 2 to Lima Central Catholic by 38
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. Medium confidence based on 20 prior OSPR predictions in the 90–99% band with acceptable calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Lima Central Catholic Style:
Balanced
Spencerville Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Lima Central Catholic defense vs Spencerville offense - advantage Lima Central Catholic
Insights:
- Significant tier mismatch favors Lima Central Catholic
- Lima Central Catholic has momentum advantage
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