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Grand Valley vs Mathews Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Grand Valley
Mathews

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Grand Valley 8 · Mathews 7

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:39 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Grand Valley

WINNER

23

Range: 12.5-33.5

OSPR Rating: 56.8
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 64.5%
Offensive Rating: 52.3
Defensive Rating: 52.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Mathews

19

Range: 8.5-29.5

OSPR Rating: 49.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 35.5%
Offensive Rating: 37.1
Defensive Rating: 47.0
Momentum: Up (0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Grand Valley -4.5

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

851 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Mathews by 17 to Grand Valley by 25

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 851 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Grand Valley Style:

Balanced

Mathews Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Grand Valley defense vs Mathews offense - advantage Grand Valley

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