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Fremont Ross vs Napoleon Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Fremont Ross
Napoleon

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Fremont Ross 8 · Napoleon 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:42 PM EDT

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Fremont Ross

WINNER

25

Range: 15-35

OSPR Rating: 56.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 75.3%
Offensive Rating: 63.7
Defensive Rating: 62.1
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Napoleon

16

Range: 6-26

OSPR Rating: 44.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 24.7%
Offensive Rating: 16.3
Defensive Rating: 36.6
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Fremont Ross -8.3

OVER/UNDER

41 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

632 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Napoleon by 11 to Fremont Ross by 29

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 632 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Fremont Ross Style:

Balanced

Napoleon Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Fremont Ross defense vs Napoleon offense - advantage Fremont Ross

Insights:

  • Fremont Ross has momentum advantage

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