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Fort Frye vs Warren Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Fort Frye
Warren

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Fort Frye 8 · Vincent Warren 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:39 PM EDT

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Fort Frye

WINNER

28

Range: 18-38

OSPR Rating: 63.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 81.3%
Offensive Rating: 91.0
Defensive Rating: 91.0
Momentum: Up (0.3)

Warren

17

Range: 7-27

OSPR Rating: 42.6
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 18.7%
Offensive Rating: 24.4
Defensive Rating: 31.9
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Fort Frye -11

OVER/UNDER

44 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

307 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Vincent Warren by 9 to Fort Frye by 31

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 307 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Fort Frye Style:

Balanced

Vincent Warren Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Fort Frye defense vs Vincent Warren offense - advantage Fort Frye

Insights:

  • Fort Frye has momentum advantage

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