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Bishop Fenwick vs Archbishop McNicholas Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Bishop Fenwick
Archbishop McNicholas

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Bishop Fenwick 8 · Archbishop McNicholas 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:45 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Bishop Fenwick

WINNER

24

Range: 14-34

OSPR Rating: 54.6
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 55.9%
Offensive Rating: 64.0
Defensive Rating: 63.3
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

Archbishop McNicholas

22

Range: 12-32

OSPR Rating: 59.1
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 44.1%
Offensive Rating: 60.4
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Bishop Fenwick -1.8

OVER/UNDER

46.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

1,032 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Archbishop McNicholas by 18 to Bishop Fenwick by 22

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Bishop Fenwick Style:

Balanced

Archbishop McNicholas Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Archbishop McNicholas defense vs Bishop Fenwick offense - advantage Archbishop McNicholas

Insights:

  • Archbishop McNicholas has momentum advantage

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