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Fairborn vs Stebbins Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Fairborn
Stebbins

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Fairborn 8 · Stebbins 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:19 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Fairborn

WINNER

23

Range: 13-33

OSPR Rating: 53.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 63.2%
Offensive Rating: 72.0
Defensive Rating: 54.5
Momentum: Up (0.3)

Stebbins

19

Range: 9-29

OSPR Rating: 45.7
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 36.8%
Offensive Rating: 39.2
Defensive Rating: 22.2
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Fairborn -4.1

OVER/UNDER

41.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

851 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Stebbins by 16 to Fairborn by 24

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 851 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Fairborn Style:

Offensive

Stebbins Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Fairborn offense vs Stebbins defense - advantage Fairborn

Insights:

  • Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
  • Fairborn has momentum advantage

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