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Ellet vs North Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Ellet
North

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Ellet 8 · Akron North 7

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:45 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Ellet

16

Range: 5.5-26.5

OSPR Rating: 36.7
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 43.4%
Offensive Rating: 0.0
Defensive Rating: 38.5
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

North

WINNER

18

Range: 7.5-28.5

OSPR Rating: 32.9
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 56.6%
Offensive Rating: 0.0
Defensive Rating: 0.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Akron North -2

OVER/UNDER

34 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

1,032 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Akron North by 23 to Ellet by 19

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Ellet Style:

Defensive

Akron North Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Ellet defense vs Akron North offense - advantage Ellet

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