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Dover vs Mansfield Senior Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Dover
Mansfield Senior

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Dover 8 · Mansfield Senior 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:14 PM EDT

Medium calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Dover

WINNER

29

Range: 19-39

OSPR Rating: 60.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 91.5%
Offensive Rating: 87.6
Defensive Rating: 51.9
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Mansfield Senior

11

Range: 1-21

OSPR Rating: 34.2
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 8.5%
Offensive Rating: 0.0
Defensive Rating: 11.9
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Dover -17.9

OVER/UNDER

39.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

Medium

20 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Mansfield Senior by 2 to Dover by 38

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. Medium confidence based on 20 prior OSPR predictions in the 90–99% band with acceptable calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Dover Style:

Offensive

Mansfield Senior Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Dover offense vs Mansfield Senior defense - advantage Dover

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Dover
  • Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
  • Dover has momentum advantage

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