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Chesapeake vs Rock Hill Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Chesapeake
Rock Hill

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Chesapeake 8 · Rock Hill 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:43 PM EDT

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Chesapeake

15

Range: 5-25

OSPR Rating: 42.1
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 27.3%
Offensive Rating: 0.0
Defensive Rating: 44.9
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Rock Hill

WINNER

22

Range: 12-32

OSPR Rating: 40.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 72.7%
Offensive Rating: 49.0
Defensive Rating: 10.8
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Rock Hill -7.4

OVER/UNDER

37 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

632 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Rock Hill by 27 to Chesapeake by 13

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 632 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Chesapeake Style:

Defensive

Rock Hill Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Rock Hill defense vs Chesapeake offense - advantage Rock Hill

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