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Carrollton vs Salem Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Carrollton
Salem

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Carrollton 8 · Salem 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:19 PM EDT

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Carrollton

15

Range: 5-25

OSPR Rating: 44.4
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 11.4%
Offensive Rating: 34.0
Defensive Rating: 69.6
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

Salem

WINNER

30

Range: 20-40

OSPR Rating: 61.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 88.6%
Offensive Rating: 87.4
Defensive Rating: 56.0
Momentum: Up (0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Salem -15.4

OVER/UNDER

44.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

307 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Salem by 35 to Carrollton by 5

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 307 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Carrollton Style:

Defensive

Salem Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Salem defense vs Carrollton offense - advantage Salem

Insights:

  • Salem has momentum advantage

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