Carey vs Mohawk Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
Choose teams and game conditions
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Carey 8 · Mohawk 8
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:42 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Carey
20
Range: 10-30
Mohawk
WINNER29
Range: 19-39
PREDICTED SPREAD
Mohawk -8.6
OVER/UNDER
49 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
632 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Mohawk by 29 to Carey by 11
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 632 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Carey Style:
Defensive
Mohawk Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Mohawk defense vs Carey offense - advantage Mohawk
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