Black River vs Wellington Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
Choose teams and game conditions
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Black River 8 · Wellington 7
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:20 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Black River
WINNER19
Range: 8.5-29.5
Wellington
18
Range: 7.5-28.5
PREDICTED SPREAD
Black River -0.9
OVER/UNDER
36.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
1,032 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Wellington by 20 to Black River by 22
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Black River Style:
Balanced
Wellington Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Black River defense vs Wellington offense - advantage Black River
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