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Tippecanoe vs Troy Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Tippecanoe
Troy

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Tippecanoe 8 · Troy 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:20 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Tippecanoe

WINNER

27

Range: 17-37

OSPR Rating: 66.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 59.8%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

Troy

24

Range: 14-34

OSPR Rating: 62.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 40.2%
Offensive Rating: 83.2
Defensive Rating: 92.1
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Tippecanoe -3

OVER/UNDER

51 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

1,032 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Troy by 17 to Tippecanoe by 23

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Tippecanoe Style:

Balanced

Troy Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Tippecanoe defense vs Troy offense - advantage Tippecanoe

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