St. Francis vs McDowell Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
Choose teams and game conditions
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
St. Francis 5 · McDowell 6
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:20 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
St. Francis
WINNER28
Range: 15.5-40.5
McDowell
16
Range: 3.5-28.5
PREDICTED SPREAD
St. Francis -11.7
OVER/UNDER
44 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
307 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
McDowell by 13 to St. Francis by 37
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 307 prior OSPR predictions in the 80–89% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
St. Francis Style:
Offensive
McDowell Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
St. Francis offense vs McDowell defense - advantage St. Francis
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