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St John School vs Leetonia Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

St John School
Leetonia

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Ashtabula St. John 7 · Leetonia 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:18 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

St John School

WINNER

21

Range: 10.5-31.5

OSPR Rating: 56.0
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 57.6%
Offensive Rating: 35.5
Defensive Rating: 82.2
Momentum: Up (0.3)

Leetonia

19

Range: 8.5-29.5

OSPR Rating: 44.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 42.4%
Offensive Rating: 17.8
Defensive Rating: 29.7
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Ashtabula St. John -2.3

OVER/UNDER

40.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

1,032 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Leetonia by 19 to Ashtabula St. John by 23

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Ashtabula St. John Style:

Defensive

Leetonia Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Ashtabula St. John defense vs Leetonia offense - advantage Ashtabula St. John

Insights:

  • Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
  • Ashtabula St. John has momentum advantage

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