St John School vs Leetonia Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
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Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Ashtabula St. John 7 · Leetonia 8
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:18 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
St John School
WINNER21
Range: 10.5-31.5
Leetonia
19
Range: 8.5-29.5
PREDICTED SPREAD
Ashtabula St. John -2.3
OVER/UNDER
40.5 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
1,032 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Leetonia by 19 to Ashtabula St. John by 23
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Ashtabula St. John Style:
Defensive
Leetonia Style:
Defensive
Key Matchup:
Ashtabula St. John defense vs Leetonia offense - advantage Ashtabula St. John
Insights:
- Both teams are defense-heavy - expect low scoring slugfest
- Ashtabula St. John has momentum advantage
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