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Roncalli vs East Central Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Roncalli
East Central

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Roncalli 2 · East Central 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:18 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Roncalli

WINNER

27

Range: 13.35-40.65

OSPR Rating: 64.4
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 50.3%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

East Central

26

Range: 12.35-39.65

OSPR Rating: 64.2
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 49.7%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Roncalli -0.1

OVER/UNDER

52 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

1,032 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

East Central by 26.3 to Roncalli by 28.3

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Roncalli Style:

Balanced

East Central Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Roncalli defense vs East Central offense - advantage Roncalli

Insights:

  • East Central has momentum advantage

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