Purcell Marian vs Shroder Football Prediction
Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.
Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.
Choose teams and game conditions
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 10
Data cutoff
Final scores through Oct 15, 2026
Games in current ratings
Purcell Marian 8 · Shroder 6
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:45 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Purcell Marian
WINNER19
Range: 8-30
Shroder
18
Range: 7-29
PREDICTED SPREAD
Purcell Marian -1.2
OVER/UNDER
37 points
Slow pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
1,032 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Shroder by 21 to Purcell Marian by 23
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 1032 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Purcell Marian Style:
Defensive
Shroder Style:
Balanced
Key Matchup:
Purcell Marian defense vs Shroder offense - advantage Purcell Marian
Insights:
- Purcell Marian has momentum advantage
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