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Piketon vs Adena Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Piketon
Adena

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Piketon 8 · Adena 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 7:19 PM EDT

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Piketon

WINNER

25

Range: 15-35

OSPR Rating: 53.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 73%
Offensive Rating: 61.8
Defensive Rating: 49.7
Momentum: Up (0.3)

Adena

18

Range: 8-28

OSPR Rating: 50.4
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 27%
Offensive Rating: 24.6
Defensive Rating: 74.0
Momentum: Down (-0.3)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Piketon -7.4

OVER/UNDER

42.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

632 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Adena by 13 to Piketon by 27

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 632 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Piketon Style:

Offensive

Adena Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Piketon defense vs Adena offense - advantage Piketon

Insights:

  • Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring
  • Piketon has momentum advantage

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