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Detroit Catholic Central vs St Francis De Sales Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Detroit Catholic Central
St Francis De Sales

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Detroit Catholic Central 7 · Toledo St. Francis 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:18 PM EDT

Medium calibration

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Detroit Catholic Central

WINNER

32

Range: 21.5-42.5

OSPR Rating: 70.9
Tier: A (Excellent)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 91.3%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 100.0
Momentum: Up (1.0)

St Francis De Sales

14

Range: 3.5-24.5

OSPR Rating: 38.0
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 8.7%
Offensive Rating: 25.8
Defensive Rating: 41.7
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Detroit Catholic Central -17.7

OVER/UNDER

45.5 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

Medium

20 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Toledo St. Francis by 3 to Detroit Catholic Central by 39

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. Medium confidence based on 20 prior OSPR predictions in the 90–99% band with acceptable calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Detroit Catholic Central Style:

Balanced

Toledo St. Francis Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Detroit Catholic Central defense vs Toledo St. Francis offense - advantage Detroit Catholic Central

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Detroit Catholic Central
  • Detroit Catholic Central has momentum advantage

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