Skip to main content

Newcomerstown vs East Canton Football Prediction

Explore projected scores and win probabilities for Ohio high school football using OSPR ratings and recorded results. Choose two teams, a season, and the game location to compare their matchup.

Win probability estimates a team's chance of winning. Confidence and plausible score ranges describe uncertainty. These estimates can change as new results arrive, and actual games can differ from the projection.

Choose teams and game conditions

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Newcomerstown
East Canton

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 10

Data cutoff

Final scores through Oct 15, 2026

Games in current ratings

Newcomerstown 8 · East Canton 8

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Oct 16, 2026 8:37 PM EDT

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Newcomerstown

WINNER

26

Range: 16-36

OSPR Rating: 61.7
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 67.1%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 82.5
Momentum: Up (1.0)

East Canton

21

Range: 11-31

OSPR Rating: 57.5
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 32.9%
Offensive Rating: 50.0
Defensive Rating: 64.8
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Newcomerstown -5.3

OVER/UNDER

47 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

851 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

East Canton by 15 to Newcomerstown by 25

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 851 prior OSPR predictions in the 60–69% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Newcomerstown Style:

Offensive

East Canton Style:

Defensive

Key Matchup:

Newcomerstown offense vs East Canton defense - advantage Newcomerstown

Insights:

  • Classic offense vs defense matchup - expect lower scoring

Click to copy the shareable link for this matchup.