Current OSPR forecast

2026 Football Weekly Predictions

Published forecasts refresh daily as OSPR ratings change. The separate pregame snapshot is locked before kickoff for public accuracy tracking.

Predictions updated Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

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Last completed week

Week 8 OSPR results

Official projections locked before kickoff and checked against final scores.

Correct picks: 248/348
Winner accuracy: 71.3%
Avg. margin error: 21.8 pts

View Week 8 results All past results

Week 9

Oct 12–Oct 18, 2026

365 projected matchups

Close games to watch

The smallest projected margins matching the current filters.

Fri, Oct 16

Rogers at Scott

Rogers by 1

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

Fri, Oct 16

University School at St. Charles

St. Charles by 1

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

Fri, Oct 16

Archbishop Carroll at Chaminade Julienne

Chaminade Julienne by 1

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

Fri, Oct 16

Valley View at Brookville

Brookville by 1

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

Fri, Oct 16

North Ridgeville at Amherst Steele

North Ridgeville by 1

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

Sat, Oct 17

Akron Garfield at Buchtel

Projected winner: Buchtel by 3
Projected score: 17–20
Away classification: D2 / R5
Home classification: D3 / R10

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

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Sat, Oct 17

Thurgood Marshall at Dunbar

Projected winner: Dunbar by 11
Projected score: 13–24
Away classification: D3 / R12
Home classification: D4 / R16

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Union Local at Bellaire

Projected winner: Union Local by 4
Projected score: 25–21
Away classification: D4 / R15
Home classification: D5 / R17

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

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Sat, Oct 17

Norwood at Clark Montessori

Projected winner: Clark Montessori by 6
Projected score: 15–21
Away classification: D4 / R16
Home classification: D4 / R16

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Summit Country Day at Miller

Projected winner: Summit Country Day by 9
Projected score: 24–15
Away classification: D5 / R20
Home classification: D7 / R27

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

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Sat, Oct 17

Buckeye Trail at Tuscarawas Central Catholic

Projected winner: Tuscarawas Central Catholic by 9
Projected score: 13–22
Away classification: D6 / R23
Home classification: D7 / R27

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

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Sat, Oct 17

Miami Valley CA at St. Bernard-Elmwood Place

Projected winner: St. Bernard-Elmwood Place by 5
Projected score: 20–25
Away classification: D6 / R24
Home classification: D6 / R24

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Conotton Valley at Steubenville Catholic Central

Projected winner: Conotton Valley by 6
Projected score: 25–19
Away classification: D7 / R27
Home classification: D7 / R27

High calibration Close Game

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Chalker at St. Mary Central Catholic

Projected winner: St. Mary Central Catholic by 4
Projected score: 21–25
Away classification: D / R
Home classification: D / R

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Windham at Kennedy Catholic

Projected winner: Windham by 7
Projected score: 24–17
Away classification: D7 / R25
Home classification: D / R

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Edon at Hilltop

Projected winner: Edon by 9
Projected score: 26–17
Away classification: D7 / R26
Home classification: D7 / R26

High calibration

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Fremont St. Joseph at Danbury

Projected winner: Danbury by 10
Projected score: 17–27
Away classification: D / R
Home classification: D / R

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Grove City Christian at Fisher Catholic

Projected winner: Fisher Catholic by 5
Projected score: 18–23
Away classification: D5 / R19
Home classification: D7 / R27

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Dearborn Divine Child at Warren De La Salle

Projected winner: Dearborn Divine Child by 5
Projected score: 27–22
Away classification: D / R
Home classification: D / R

High calibration Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Sat, Oct 17

Independence at Linsly

Projected winner: Independence by 9
Projected score: 27–18
Away classification: D / R
Home classification: D / R

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM

View matchup

Date	Away	Home	Projected winner	Score	OSPR assessment	Matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Akron Garfield D2 / R5	Buchtel D3 / R10	Buchtel by 3	Projected 17–20	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Thurgood Marshall D3 / R12	Dunbar D4 / R16	Dunbar by 11	Projected 13–24	High calibration Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Union Local D4 / R15	Bellaire D5 / R17	Union Local by 4	Projected 25–21	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Norwood D4 / R16	Clark Montessori D4 / R16	Clark Montessori by 6	Projected 15–21	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Summit Country Day D5 / R20	Miller D7 / R27	Summit Country Day by 9	Projected 24–15	High calibration Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Buckeye Trail D6 / R23	Tuscarawas Central Catholic D7 / R27	Tuscarawas Central Catholic by 9	Projected 13–22	High calibration Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Miami Valley CA D6 / R24	St. Bernard-Elmwood Place D6 / R24	St. Bernard-Elmwood Place by 5	Projected 20–25	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Conotton Valley D7 / R27	Steubenville Catholic Central D7 / R27	Conotton Valley by 6	Projected 25–19	High calibration Close Game Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Chalker D / R	St. Mary Central Catholic D / R	St. Mary Central Catholic by 4	Projected 21–25	High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Windham D7 / R25	Kennedy Catholic D / R	Windham by 7	Projected 24–17	High calibration Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Edon D7 / R26	Hilltop D7 / R26	Edon by 9	Projected 26–17	High calibration Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Fremont St. Joseph D / R	Danbury D / R	Danbury by 10	Projected 17–27	High calibration Limited Data Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Grove City Christian D5 / R19	Fisher Catholic D7 / R27	Fisher Catholic by 5	Projected 18–23	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Dearborn Divine Child D / R	Warren De La Salle D / R	Dearborn Divine Child by 5	Projected 27–22	High calibration Close Game Upset Possible Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup
Sat, Oct 17	Independence D / R	Linsly D / R	Independence by 9	Projected 27–18	High calibration Limited Data Version 2026.1 Weekly projection Oct 16, 2026 10:30 AM	View matchup

How these weekly predictions work

Weekly forecasts use the latest available OSPR ratings and may change during the week. Confidence combines OSPR's historical calibration with the number of comparable predictions; it is not win probability. Limited Data separately flags thin historical samples or weak current-season rating evidence. The official pregame projection is frozen before the game and cannot be rewritten afterward.

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