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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Archbishop McNicholas
Ironton

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Archbishop McNicholas 2 · Ironton 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:45 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Archbishop McNicholas

19

Range: 1.7-36.3

OSPR Rating: 49.3
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 23.2%
Offensive Rating: 35.3
Defensive Rating: 56.9
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

Ironton

WINNER

27

Range: 9.7-44.3

OSPR Rating: 65.9
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 76.8%
Offensive Rating: 100.0
Defensive Rating: 87.7
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Ironton -9

OVER/UNDER

46 points

Fast pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Ironton by 42.6 to Archbishop McNicholas by 26.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Archbishop McNicholas Style:

Defensive

Ironton Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Ironton defense vs Archbishop McNicholas offense - advantage Ironton

Insights:

  • Ironton has momentum advantage

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