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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Niles Mc Kinley
Ravenna

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Niles McKinley 2 · Ravenna 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Niles Mc Kinley

17

Range: 0-34.3

OSPR Rating: 37.1
Tier: D (Below Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 20.6%
Offensive Rating: 27.5
Defensive Rating: 46.3
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Ravenna

WINNER

27

Range: 9.7-44.3

OSPR Rating: 64.3
Tier: B (Above Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 79.4%
Offensive Rating: 75.6
Defensive Rating: 84.4
Momentum: Up (1.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Ravenna -10.1

OVER/UNDER

43.5 points

Slow pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

157 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Ravenna by 44.3 to Niles McKinley by 24.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Niles McKinley Style:

Defensive

Ravenna Style:

Balanced

Key Matchup:

Ravenna defense vs Niles McKinley offense - advantage Ravenna

Insights:

  • Significant tier mismatch favors Ravenna
  • Ravenna has momentum advantage

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