Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
McComb 2 · Elmwood 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Sep 1, 2026 1:59 AM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
McComb
20
Range: 2.7-37.3
Elmwood
WINNER23
Range: 5.7-40.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Elmwood -2.1
OVER/UNDER
43 points
Moderate pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
292 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Elmwood by 37.6 to McComb by 31.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
McComb Style:
Balanced
Elmwood Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
McComb offense vs Elmwood defense - advantage McComb
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