Matchup Predictor
Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.
OSPR Prediction
Context
Competition week 3
Data cutoff
Final scores through Aug 29, 2026
Games in current ratings
Mathews 2 · Newton Falls 2
OSPR calculation
Version 2026.1
Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 10:46 PM EDT
Version 2026.1 Live projection
Mathews
19
Range: 1.7-36.3
Newton Falls
WINNER26
Range: 8.7-43.3
PREDICTED SPREAD
Newton Falls -7.3
OVER/UNDER
44.5 points
Fast pace
CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE
High
157 comparable results
PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE
Newton Falls by 41.6 to Mathews by 27.6
The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.
Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.
The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 157 prior OSPR predictions in the 70–79% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.
Matchup Analysis
Mathews Style:
Balanced
Newton Falls Style:
Offensive
Key Matchup:
Newton Falls offense vs Mathews defense - advantage Newton Falls
Insights:
- Newton Falls has momentum advantage
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