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Matchup Predictor

Compare any two Ohio teams using OSPR ratings and recorded game results.

Marietta
Athens

OSPR Prediction

Ohio Sports Power Rating

Context

Competition week 3

Data cutoff

Final scores through Aug 29, 2026

Games in current ratings

Marietta 2 · Athens 2

OSPR calculation

Version 2026.1

Neutral Site · Generated Aug 31, 2026 11:33 PM EDT

High calibration Limited Data Close Game Upset Possible

Version 2026.1 Live projection

Marietta

20

Range: 2.7-37.3

OSPR Rating: 41.2
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 43.5%
Offensive Rating: 61.2
Defensive Rating: 28.9
Momentum: Down (-1.0)

Athens

WINNER

22

Range: 4.7-39.3

OSPR Rating: 52.0
Tier: C (Average)
Rating-based Win Estimate: 56.5%
Offensive Rating: 63.4
Defensive Rating: 47.6
Momentum: Neutral (0.0)

PREDICTED SPREAD

Athens -2

OVER/UNDER

42 points

Moderate pace

CALIBRATED CONFIDENCE

High

292 comparable results

PLAUSIBLE MARGIN RANGE

Athens by 36.6 to Marietta by 32.6

The current score ranges include outcomes where either team wins.

Win estimate and confidence answer different questions.

The win estimate expresses which team the current ratings favor. High confidence based on 292 prior OSPR predictions in the 50–59% band with close calibration. Confidence uses historical calibration and sample size, while Limited Data also identifies weak current-season rating evidence. Use the plausible margin range when confidence is limited.

Matchup Analysis

Marietta Style:

Offensive

Athens Style:

Offensive

Key Matchup:

Athens offense vs Marietta defense - advantage Athens

Insights:

  • Both teams are offense-heavy - expect higher scoring
  • Athens has momentum advantage

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